Comments on: Battelle's '08 Predictions: How'd He Do? http://boingboing.net/2008/12/30/battelles-08-predict.html Brain candy for Happy Mutants Tue, 18 Jun 2013 23:28:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.4.1 By: jahknow http://boingboing.net/2008/12/30/battelles-08-predict.html#comment-368394 jahknow Wed, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 #comment-368394 But what would Negrodamus say? But what would Negrodamus say?

]]> By: Teresa Nielsen Hayden / Moderator http://boingboing.net/2008/12/30/battelles-08-predict.html#comment-368191 Teresa Nielsen Hayden / Moderator Wed, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 #comment-368191 I've seen my share of corporate warriors. John Battelle is a corporate wizard. I’ve seen my share of corporate warriors. John Battelle is a corporate wizard.

]]> By: aj http://boingboing.net/2008/12/30/battelles-08-predict.html#comment-367208 aj Wed, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 #comment-367208 I dunno, it's not too impressive to claim that "Microsoft will fail to gain much traction in anything that is Web related." I dunno, it’s not too impressive to claim that “Microsoft will fail to gain much traction in anything that is Web related.”

]]> By: Frank_in_Virginia http://boingboing.net/2008/12/30/battelles-08-predict.html#comment-367223 Frank_in_Virginia Wed, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 #comment-367223 Agreed, while my Google was at one time worth seven times what I paid for it, it is now "only" worth three times what I paid for it. I have time. Agreed, while my Google was at one time worth seven times what I paid for it, it is now “only” worth three times what I paid for it. I have time.

]]> By: WA http://boingboing.net/2008/12/30/battelles-08-predict.html#comment-367256 WA Wed, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 #comment-367256 This really sounds like someone trying to argue that his predictions were true, rather than looking at them objectively. Things like "All the anecdotes I've heard about the company in the past year ... point to this conclusion" really don't make for justification of statements like "he was pretty spot-on." Many of the questions involve him arguing that he was correct by picking and choosing parts of individual predictions that were correct while ignoring or discounting parts that were not. By my count, it seems as though about seven of the predictions were reasonably correct, out of 21. This really sounds like someone trying to argue that his predictions were true, rather than looking at them objectively. Things like “All the anecdotes I’ve heard about the company in the past year … point to this conclusion” really don’t make for justification of statements like “he was pretty spot-on.” Many of the questions involve him arguing that he was correct by picking and choosing parts of individual predictions that were correct while ignoring or discounting parts that were not.

By my count, it seems as though about seven of the predictions were reasonably correct, out of 21.

]]> By: Ari1413 http://boingboing.net/2008/12/30/battelles-08-predict.html#comment-367587 Ari1413 Wed, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 #comment-367587 Looking at the list, some of these predictions look a lot like "there will be conflict in the Middle East" type things. Looking at the list, some of these predictions look a lot like “there will be conflict in the Middle East” type things.

]]> By: Tully http://boingboing.net/2008/12/30/battelles-08-predict.html#comment-367341 Tully Wed, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 #comment-367341 Does the decline in Google's share price really make it clear that investor's are frustrated with Google? I assume investors have also discounted Google's value based on their outlook for the overall economy. Does the decline in Google’s share price really make it clear that investor’s are frustrated with Google? I assume investors have also discounted Google’s value based on their outlook for the overall economy.

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