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	<title>Comments on: Earthquake Prediction: Could We Ever Forecast the Next Big&#160;One?</title>
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	<link>http://boingboing.net/2011/10/21/earthquake-prediction-could-we-ever-forecast-the-next-big-one.html</link>
	<description>Brain candy for Happy Mutants</description>
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		<title>By: tubacat</title>
		<link>http://boingboing.net/2011/10/21/earthquake-prediction-could-we-ever-forecast-the-next-big-one.html#comment-1250558</link>
		<dc:creator>tubacat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Oct 2011 08:41:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boingboing.net/?p=125022#comment-1250558</guid>
		<description>Actually, there were 4 quakes on the Great Shakeout Day (Thursday), and 3 more yesterday. Mostly small, but nevertheless unnerving...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Actually, there were 4 quakes on the Great Shakeout Day (Thursday), and 3 more yesterday. Mostly small, but nevertheless unnerving&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Xeni Jardin</title>
		<link>http://boingboing.net/2011/10/21/earthquake-prediction-could-we-ever-forecast-the-next-big-one.html#comment-1250360</link>
		<dc:creator>Xeni Jardin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Oct 2011 00:21:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boingboing.net/?p=125022#comment-1250360</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;&lt;em&gt;but the elephant protecting child pic seems (while cool) out of place...&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;
As the caption on Flickr explains (our blog platform makes it tough to add captions handily in-line):

This is a statue outside of a civil defense and citizen earthquake preparedness training center in Tokyo, Japan. The statue symbolizes protection and preparedness for natural disasters, the most common and historically destructive of which for Japan is earthquakes. The image is not out of place in this blog post.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p><em>but the elephant protecting child pic seems (while cool) out of place&#8230;</em></p></blockquote>
<p>As the caption on Flickr explains (our blog platform makes it tough to add captions handily in-line):</p>
<p>This is a statue outside of a civil defense and citizen earthquake preparedness training center in Tokyo, Japan. The statue symbolizes protection and preparedness for natural disasters, the most common and historically destructive of which for Japan is earthquakes. The image is not out of place in this blog post.</p>
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		<title>By: gwailo_joe</title>
		<link>http://boingboing.net/2011/10/21/earthquake-prediction-could-we-ever-forecast-the-next-big-one.html#comment-1249979</link>
		<dc:creator>gwailo_joe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 22 Oct 2011 08:24:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boingboing.net/?p=125022#comment-1249979</guid>
		<description>This is an interesting story...but the elephant protecting child pic seems (while cool) out of place...

Those lil shakes were like licking an ice cream cone then throwing the rest in the trash: I don&#039;t like the effects per se of a big ol&#039; nasty one, but damn it I don&#039;t like to be teased either.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is an interesting story&#8230;but the elephant protecting child pic seems (while cool) out of place&#8230;</p>
<p>Those lil shakes were like licking an ice cream cone then throwing the rest in the trash: I don&#8217;t like the effects per se of a big ol&#8217; nasty one, but damn it I don&#8217;t like to be teased either.</p>
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		<title>By: greggman</title>
		<link>http://boingboing.net/2011/10/21/earthquake-prediction-could-we-ever-forecast-the-next-big-one.html#comment-1249942</link>
		<dc:creator>greggman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 22 Oct 2011 06:29:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boingboing.net/?p=125022#comment-1249942</guid>
		<description>I hope you got footage of an entire 3 mile long bay on fire from an oil spill caused by the tsunami. I saw an NHK documentary on it. It was amazing.

There&#039;s a tiny piece bit of coverage here
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vj3DZnzlUzc#t=4m24s
but there was a lot more on the NHK program.

Literally the ENTIRE BAY for 3 miles was on fire!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I hope you got footage of an entire 3 mile long bay on fire from an oil spill caused by the tsunami. I saw an NHK documentary on it. It was amazing.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s a tiny piece bit of coverage here<br />
<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vj3DZnzlUzc#t=4m24s" rel="nofollow">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vj3DZnzlUzc#t=4m24s</a><br />
but there was a lot more on the NHK program.</p>
<p>Literally the ENTIRE BAY for 3 miles was on fire!</p>
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		<title>By: The Not So Brave Engineer</title>
		<link>http://boingboing.net/2011/10/21/earthquake-prediction-could-we-ever-forecast-the-next-big-one.html#comment-1249901</link>
		<dc:creator>The Not So Brave Engineer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 22 Oct 2011 04:21:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boingboing.net/?p=125022#comment-1249901</guid>
		<description>Hey, they timed that &quot;Great California Shakeout&quot; thingy pretty well, right?  And that has been planned for months.  It&#039;s a conspiracy, man...

My own thought, as well as that of a geophysicist that I know, is that even if there was some sort of reliable magic precursor signal produced from the point miles below ground shortly before an earthquake starts, that would be absolutely useless unless you could also tell how big the quake was going to be.  Hundreds of tiny quakes happen every day in California, and since a big quake is really just a &quot;cascade&quot; effect of many smaller quakes triggering each other and joining together, a precursor for a big quake probably wouldn&#039;t look any different than that for a small one.  

Let&#039;s just build stronger buildings.  Not like those death-trap townhouses in the San Francisco Sunset district that will just sink into the soil through liquefaction...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey, they timed that &#8220;Great California Shakeout&#8221; thingy pretty well, right?  And that has been planned for months.  It&#8217;s a conspiracy, man&#8230;</p>
<p>My own thought, as well as that of a geophysicist that I know, is that even if there was some sort of reliable magic precursor signal produced from the point miles below ground shortly before an earthquake starts, that would be absolutely useless unless you could also tell how big the quake was going to be.  Hundreds of tiny quakes happen every day in California, and since a big quake is really just a &#8220;cascade&#8221; effect of many smaller quakes triggering each other and joining together, a precursor for a big quake probably wouldn&#8217;t look any different than that for a small one.  </p>
<p>Let&#8217;s just build stronger buildings.  Not like those death-trap townhouses in the San Francisco Sunset district that will just sink into the soil through liquefaction&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: ozonator</title>
		<link>http://boingboing.net/2011/10/21/earthquake-prediction-could-we-ever-forecast-the-next-big-one.html#comment-1249671</link>
		<dc:creator>ozonator</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Oct 2011 21:26:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boingboing.net/?p=125022#comment-1249671</guid>
		<description>“Moon Walk Model: ... Kermadec Islands (7+)” was correct.

This quake makes 3 correct AGW earthquake predictions out of 23 in the following blogs with the standard 2-week model and shows the “T” in the T-Party (t-GOP) stands again for exporting a tsunami.

“A 7.6 magnitude earthquake struck 180 kilometers (112 miles) east of Raoul Island in the Kermadec Islands  ... sea level readings indicated a tsunami was generated, which may have been destructive along the coasts near the earthquake epicenter ... the quake was felt along the east coast of New Zealand” (“Earthquake strikes near Raoul Island in the Kermadec Islands”; eturbonews.com, 10/21/11).

The predictions are found in:

http://wireupdate.com/news/strong-earthquake-hits-off-the-coast-of-oregon-no-damage.html

http://www.koinlocal6.com/news/local/story/5-9-magnitude-earthquake-strikes-off-Ore-coast/o_B9eYkfUUiv3ngPKh-c3Q.cspx?p=Comments</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>“Moon Walk Model: &#8230; Kermadec Islands (7+)” was correct.</p>
<p>This quake makes 3 correct AGW earthquake predictions out of 23 in the following blogs with the standard 2-week model and shows the “T” in the T-Party (t-GOP) stands again for exporting a tsunami.</p>
<p>“A 7.6 magnitude earthquake struck 180 kilometers (112 miles) east of Raoul Island in the Kermadec Islands  &#8230; sea level readings indicated a tsunami was generated, which may have been destructive along the coasts near the earthquake epicenter &#8230; the quake was felt along the east coast of New Zealand” (“Earthquake strikes near Raoul Island in the Kermadec Islands”; eturbonews.com, 10/21/11).</p>
<p>The predictions are found in:</p>
<p><a href="http://wireupdate.com/news/strong-earthquake-hits-off-the-coast-of-oregon-no-damage.html" rel="nofollow">http://wireupdate.com/news/strong-earthquake-hits-off-the-coast-of-oregon-no-damage.html</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.koinlocal6.com/news/local/story/5-9-magnitude-earthquake-strikes-off-Ore-coast/o_B9eYkfUUiv3ngPKh-c3Q.cspx?p=Comments" rel="nofollow">http://www.koinlocal6.com/news/local/story/5-9-magnitude-earthquake-strikes-off-Ore-coast/o_B9eYkfUUiv3ngPKh-c3Q.cspx?p=Comments</a></p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: InsertFingerHere</title>
		<link>http://boingboing.net/2011/10/21/earthquake-prediction-could-we-ever-forecast-the-next-big-one.html#comment-1249555</link>
		<dc:creator>InsertFingerHere</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Oct 2011 20:07:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boingboing.net/?p=125022#comment-1249555</guid>
		<description>Was sure that bolt was going to fall on the guy&#039;s head.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Was sure that bolt was going to fall on the guy&#8217;s head.</p>
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		<title>By: GregS</title>
		<link>http://boingboing.net/2011/10/21/earthquake-prediction-could-we-ever-forecast-the-next-big-one.html#comment-1249208</link>
		<dc:creator>GregS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Oct 2011 17:02:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boingboing.net/?p=125022#comment-1249208</guid>
		<description>Even if we can, I doubt we will, for reasons of legal liability.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Even if we can, I doubt we will, for reasons of legal liability.</p>
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		<title>By: Brainspore</title>
		<link>http://boingboing.net/2011/10/21/earthquake-prediction-could-we-ever-forecast-the-next-big-one.html#comment-1249094</link>
		<dc:creator>Brainspore</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Oct 2011 15:57:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://boingboing.net/?p=125022#comment-1249094</guid>
		<description>My suspicion is &quot;yes, but with a margin of error a couple of centuries wide.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My suspicion is &#8220;yes, but with a margin of error a couple of centuries wide.&#8221;</p>
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