Last May, Dave at Euri.ca took at crack at expanding Gabriel Rossman's excellent post on spurious correlation in data. It's an important read for anyone wondering whether the core hypothesis of the Big Data movement is that every sufficiently large pile of horseshit must have a pony in it somewhere. As O'Reilly's Nat Torkington says, "Anyone who thinks it’s possible to draw truthful conclusions from data analysis without really learning statistics needs to read this."
* If good looks and smarts are distributed normally, and
If good looks and smarts have nothing to do with each other, and
If movie producers want both smarts and looks
Then, by observing employed actors we’ll assume that looks and smarts have a negative correlation
Even though we constructed this experiment with no correlation
Here’s a graph of 250 randomly generated points (with no correlation). With the red circles representing “actors who are smart and good looking enough to get a job (looks+smarts>2), and lighter blue x’s representing “people who wanted to be actors”
Clearly if we only look at actors with jobs, we’ll see a clearly negative correlation between smarts and good looks. In fact, some brilliant actors are less attractive than an average person, and some gorgeous actors are dumber than an average person. Even more interesting though, is that if we try to rule out bias by looking at aspiring but unsuccessful actors as well, we’ll find that they exhibit a similar correlation...
You’re probably polluting your statistics more than you think
(via O'Reilly Radar)
The hexidecimal color #C0FFEE (192 Red, 255 Green, 238 Blue, on a scale of 0-255) is a pleasing greenish color, while #BEADED is a kind of mauve.
The average person probably assumes that mathematics is a complete system in which all mathematical statements can be proved or disproved. The fine folks at Numberphile are ready to disabuse folks of this notion with a nice overview of Gödel’s Incompleteness Theorem.
Maria writes, “Funville Adventures is a creative, joyful, and gentle new project that introduces young children to advanced math. Children as young as 5 will enjoy the story and math-rich play; older children and adults can also investigate the deeper mathematical concepts such as inverse function, composition, and functional.”
Learning a new language will give your resume an upgrade, sure, but it will also provide a huge cognitive boost for mental tasks outside of translation and conversation. Bilingual brains have been shown to be better at handling multiple concurrent tasks, and gaining fluency in a new tongue is an amazing way to improve memory, […]
If you struggle to get a good night’s rest, consider replacing your pillows before dropping hundreds on a new mattress. You can give your tired neck a break with a 2-pack of memory foam pillows, available now in the Boing Boing Store.Each of these pillows is stuffed with cooling polyurethane foam that molds to your […]
Although flagship smartphones are unlikely to adopt heavy-duty outer casing anytime soon, you can always prepare your device for the outdoors with a beefy case and and an external battery like this Nomad Tile Trackable PowerPack, available in the Boing Boing Store for $119.95.The Nomad Tile can fully recharge an iPhone 7 over three times […]