Which apocalyptic threats are most likely to wipe out Earth's population?

threats
Will the human race be wiped out by honeybee extinction, nuclear armageddon, bioterrorism, loss of topsoil, a natural pandemic, a combo-pocalypse, overpopulation, nano-weapons, climate change, flawed super AI, underpopulation, a geo-engineering fail, a grey goo disaster, post-humanity, rising sea levels, a supervolcano, methane release, an asteroid impact, an alien invasion, the Venus syndrome, an unknown unknown, a gamma ray burst, the Matrix scenario, a rogue black hole, the death of the Sun, or the death of the universe?

This BBC infographic doesn't give us an answer, but it offers the estimated likelihood of each panocidal scenario, and when we might expect it.