A wild $35m Friday night haul put Kane Parsons' Backrooms on track for a $75m weekend (including Thursday's $10m preview take)—far more than what was even hoped for on its $10m budget. The total will easily surpass studio A24's previous best, Civil War, which cost $50m and made $127m all told.
Deadline's Anthony D'Alessandro writes that it's down to the youth vote: "This movie wasn't for anyone over 35 last night: They only showed up at 12%" of the audience.
Screen Engine/Rentrak exits show a massive turnout by the 18-24 bunch at 43%. The 18-34 combined was 76%. The inclination is to shoot from the hip and say this movie will open to $80M+, but heck, even if it's $60M, that's pretty damn good. I mean, three weeks ago the outlook on early tracking was $20M for the Kane Parsons-directed movie.
Following it at the box office is Obsession, in its third week, expected to earn $25m this weekend after taking $7m on Friday. The horror romance will pass $100m total by Monday.
Expected to land third, Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu is tracking for $24m after a $6.5m Friday. This suggests a 69% second-weekend drop: worse than Solo: A Star Wars Story (down 65%) but far from the franchise's nastiest (Star Wars Episode IX: Rise of Skywalker sank 91%).
Michael, the fluffy biopic of the famed singer, will take $13M-$16M in the sixth week of a $341.2M–$344.2M box office run. The Breadwinner, a comedy with Nate Bargatze, will take $7.5m-$8m
Pressure, dramatizing the weather predictions that would make or break the Normandy landings in World War II, tracks for $5m.
All of this is unfolding against forecasts of a big summer. Cinelytic, the industry analytics company claiming a strong track record of accurate forecasting, pegs the May-through-August domestic haul at $4.5 billion—a 24% jump on last summer's $3.6 billion and enough to top the Barbenheimer-fueled post-pandemic highs of 2023. Others are more conservative, but not far off; box office numbers are already running 14% ahead of the same point in 2025, but the bigger predictions ride on Spider-Man: Brand New Day, being a huge hit.
