U.S. intelligence officials are telling news agencies today they are confident that Iran painted the Ukrainian airliner with radar, then fired two surface to air missiles that brought down the aircraft, killing all 176 people aboard.
The footage i've got from a source – the moment the missile hit the #Flight752. I can't verify the video yet! but please let me know if you find anything. I'm in contact with the person who send this video to see if I can get a version of video which has a meta data on it pic.twitter.com/HtesW5uecB
— ?Nariman (@NarimanGharib) January 9, 2020
It's a working theory, but based on satellite and other signals and human intelligence.
CNN: US believes that Iran mistakenly shot down a Ukrainian airliner on Tuesday, according to multiple US officials. The working theory is based on continuing analysis of data from satellites, radar and electronic data collected routinely by US military and intelligence.
— Shimon Prokupecz (@ShimonPro) January 9, 2020
The U.S. officials quoted anonymously say they believe the downing of the Ukrainian Airlines Flight 752, which happened during a time of peak tensions between Iran and the United States after Trump's assassination of top general Qasem Soleimani, was accidental.
BREAKING @VassyKapelos reports Canada has received the information from U-S intelligence sources that its highly likely the Ukrainian airliner was shot down. Remember Transport Minister Marc Garneau said yesterday there were satellite indications"something very unusual happened"
— Tom Harrington (@cbctom) January 9, 2020
The U.S. intelligence official says satellite data shows the Ukrainian International Airlines Boeing 737-800 bound for Kyiv was airborne for two minutes after departing Tehran, when the heat signatures of two surface-to-air missiles were detected.
That was quickly followed by an explosion in the vicinity of the plane, the official said. Heat signature data then showed the plane on fire as it went down.
Iran's head of civil aviation was quoted by ISNA News Agency as saying that it was "impossible that a missile hit the Ukrainian plane."
Two U.S. officials said Washington believed the downing of the plane, which occurred at a time of rising tensions between Iran and the United States, was accidental.
An Iranian report on Thursday cited witnesses on the ground and in a passing aircraft flying at a high altitude as saying the plane was on fire while in the air.
More from Reuters.
Huge repercussions to the news Ukrainian plane was brought down. Not least domestically in Iran too: they shot down their own people.
— Alistair Bunkall (@AliBunkallSKY) January 9, 2020
IRAN'S HEAD OF CIVIL AVIATION DISMISSES REPORTS OF UKRAINIAN PLANE BEING HIT BY MISSILES AS "ILLOGICAL RUMOURS" – ISNA
Get our news in real-time: https://t.co/XRHQtaGrwo
— Redbox Global (@RedboxWire) January 9, 2020
WSJ: "US Has High Level of Confidence that 2 #Iran Missiles brought down Ukrainian plane."
Western intel officials told Sky news yesterday initial assessment is malfunction. Trudeau can't say definitively yethttps://t.co/E6Sj78HsiT
— Joyce Karam (@Joyce_Karam) January 9, 2020
I think this is likely an accident due to rapidly escalating tensions between Iran & US that night. The Iranian air defence regiments in the Tehran region were probs ordered to go on high alert (especially near Malard missile site). They may have mistook it for US target. Tragic. https://t.co/O1HIgHiXCX
— ELINT News (@ELINTNews) January 9, 2020