I'm a wargame designer. I co-developed the first reboot of Axis & Allies and its D-Day edition, made a mythological Risk game called Risk Godstorm, and burned down both the Roman Empire in Gloria Mundi and medieval France in Veritas. I write about game theory learned from simulating war outcomes. Like many people, I'm stuck on this as the likely outcome of our situation:
We're facing a civil war.
Up until yesterday, I wasn't thinking a civil war was probable. But then Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg died. With her likely went the last chance the 2020 election will end peacefully.
An overreaction? Maybe. We'll see. In the meantime, it's definitely a good idea to be thinking about, debating, and preparing for different scenarios that many come to pass.
Read the full piece here.
And here's Fareed Zakaria outlining the likely election night nightmare that could trigger such a scenario (where Trump wins on Nov 3, a so-called "Red Mirage," then the mail-in votes are counted, and Biden wins, in a "Blue Shift").